Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.002595 0.002766 0.002951 0.003165 0.003410 0.003681 0.004010
2025-01-05 0.002302 0.002529 0.002787 0.003108 0.003501 0.003978 0.004616
2025-01-12 0.002079 0.002329 0.002624 0.003006 0.003502 0.004144 0.005080
2025-01-19 0.001954 0.002224 0.002553 0.002996 0.003600 0.004434 0.005763
2025-01-26 0.001778 0.002040 0.002364 0.002809 0.003431 0.004321 0.005812
2025-02-02 0.001716 0.001991 0.002339 0.002832 0.003548 0.004630 0.006607
2025-02-09 0.001685 0.001979 0.002360 0.002915 0.003759 0.005119 0.007886
2025-02-16 0.001635 0.001936 0.002333 0.002927 0.003862 0.005449 0.008998
2025-02-23 0.001619 0.001938 0.002367 0.003029 0.004117 0.006102 0.011219
2025-03-02 0.001560 0.001877 0.002309 0.002985 0.004124 0.006285 0.012362
2025-03-09 0.001497 0.001808 0.002235 0.002910 0.004066 0.006324 0.013110
2025-03-16 0.001477 0.001797 0.002243 0.002965 0.004245 0.006910 0.016295
2025-03-23 0.001451 0.001779 0.002245 0.003015 0.004437 0.007622 0.021534
2025-03-30 0.001401 0.001725 0.002188 0.002966 0.004434 0.007869 0.025265
2025-04-06 0.001343 0.001657 0.002109 0.002873 0.004333 0.007835 0.027275
2025-04-13 0.001310 0.001625 0.002081 0.002864 0.004402 0.008296 0.035544
2025-04-20 0.001240 0.001535 0.001962 0.002692 0.004110 0.007638 0.030331
2025-04-27 0.001220 0.001518 0.001955 0.002712 0.004230 0.008249 0.043458
2025-05-04 0.001215 0.001522 0.001978 0.002789 0.004484 0.009420 0.096087
2025-05-11 0.001195 0.001503 0.001966 0.002801 0.004593 0.010171 0.256879
2025-05-18 0.001193 0.001512 0.001997 0.002894 0.004914 0.012016 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001164 0.001479 0.001959 0.002854 0.004897 0.012373 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001132 0.001438 0.001908 0.002784 0.004796 0.012272 NaN